Bitcoin Bounces Back As Markets ‘Aggressively’ Front-Run Fed Meeting, Says Analyst
Bitcoin prices rallied on Monday, December 8, pushing higher as market participants “aggressively” front-ran the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting, according to Cardiff founder William Stern.
The world’s most prominent cryptocurrency rose to roughly $92,300, according to Coinbase data from TradingView. At this point, it had climbed approximately 5% in under 24 hours.
“We are seeing a convergence of three massive drivers: the smart money pricing in a Fed pivot, a supply shock caused by record exchange outflows, and a flight to quality ahead of 2026 economic uncertainty,” Stern added through emailed commentary.
“Investors are voting with their capital that the era of tightening is effectively over, and they aren’t waiting for Jerome Powell’s press conference to place their bets. This is a classic liquidity squeeze driven by institutional positioning,” he added, emphasizing the impact major players have been having on the markets.
Marc P. Bernegger, cofounder of crypto fund of funds AltAlpha Digital, also weighed in, stressing the importance of speculation surrounding Federal Open Market Committee policy moves and the influence of institutional investors.
“With the FOMC meeting this week, odds of a December rate cut have surged to 86.2%, reigniting risk-on sentiment,” he said via email, citing figures pulled from the CME FedWatch Tool this morning EST.
“Bitcoin has historically rallied on Fed easing signals as lower rates make high-yield assets like BTC more attractive versus bonds,” noted Bernegger. “This macro tailwind aligns with broader recovery in institutional demand, with over 75% of surveyed investors planning to boost crypto allocations in 2025.”
Robust Whale Activity
Several analysts emphasized the notable purchases that major buyers, or whales, have made as of late, as well as how these transactions have impacted cryptocurrency prices.
Jonatan Randin, senior market analyst at PrimeXBT, spoke to this development, noting that it has taken place at the same time that the actions taken by retail investors have pointed to lackluster interest.
“What makes this bounce interesting from an on-chain perspective is the divergence between retail and institutional behavior,” he stated via email. “The Fear and Greed Index dropped to levels we last saw during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets, and BlackRock’s IBIT saw its longest outflow streak since launch with over $2.7 billion in redemptions.”
“Yet whale wallets have been accumulating at record pace, absorbing over 240% of Bitcoin’s yearly issuance,” Randin continued. “Large holders added nearly 48,000 BTC in December alone while retail was panic selling.”
“When you see smart money accumulating while weak hands capitulate at major support, the setup typically favors a recovery,” he concluded.
Paul Howard, senior director at crypto trading firm Wincent, focused on the effect that digital asset treasuries have been having on the markets.
“On-chain analysis pointed towards corporate buyers of majors, namely BitMine for ETH and Strategy for BTC,” he stated, through comments that were received via Telegram.
“These established buyers have typically been fore runners to momentum and may be an indication of bullish sentiment ahead of FOMC this week,” Howard added.
Gerry O’Shea, head of global market insights at crypto asset manager Hashdex, also offered his input, zeroing in on signs that institutions are increasingly embracing digital currencies.
“Despite bitcoin’s recent drawdown, there have been a number of positive developments regarding its institutional adoption in the last week, including Bank of America endorsing a 1-4% crypto allocation for its wealth management clients and Vanguard allowing crypto ETFs to be traded on its platform,” he stated via email.
“These factors, along with expectations that liquidity conditions will improve in the wake of a likely Fed rate cut this week and the potential expansion of its balance sheet, have helped push the price higher in recent days,” O’Shea added.
The analyst also provided a bullish outlook for the broader crypto space.
“We anticipate continued volatility in this environment but believe bitcoin, and digital assets more broadly, are poised for a strong 2026 as institutional acceptance, regulatory clarity, and favorable monetary conditions converge.”
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