A $900 Trillion S&P 500? Reddit Debates The Math Behind 10% Market Growth Rate For Another 30+ Years
Another user took issue with the assumption that historical trends will keep repeating. "You are assuming that the tailwinds of interest rates, taxes, suppression of labor wages will continue to trend the same way," they wrote. "Any of those trends continuing to the point we have multiple companies... having wealth bigger than many countries combined, could result in the kind of social unrest preventing that growth."
Still, others offered a middle-ground take: yes, inflation will play a big role, and yes, some technological innovations might drive value, but don't expect a repeat of the past 30 years. "Past performance does not indicate future results," one person reminded.
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A Bet On Innovation Or Just Inflation?
Many pointed to advancements in AI, renewable energy, automation and healthcare as areas that could push corporate profits higher, even with slower consumer growth. "Humans are a dynamic, innovative species," one commenter said. "We may well find the world unrecognizable in 30 years."
Others focused on the U.S. dollar itself. "If you divide the S&P 500 over the money supply, you get almost a constant," they argued. "It has never been true growth... just almost keeping purchasing power."
So, is the idea of a $900 trillion S&P 500 absurd? Depends on who you ask. But most Redditors agreed on one thing: inflation will do a lot of the heavy lifting, and whether it's real growth or just more dollars chasing assets, the index might keep climbing.
Read Next: Over the last five years, the price of gold has increased by approximately 83% — Investors like Bill O’Reilly and Rudy Giuliani are using this platform to create customized gold IRAs to help shield their savings from inflation and economic turbulence.
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